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ANC-DA Budget Impasse: No Deal Yet Despite ‘Positive’ Talks – What’s Next?

Last updated: April 1, 2025 10:51 am
Karabo Makodi
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ANC-DA Budget Impasse: No Deal Yet Despite 'Positive' Talks – What's Next?
Politty.org
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South Africa is at a crossroads as the nation’s budget, which is a cornerstone in financial planning for the country, hangs on the line. The African National Congress and the Democratic Alliance have come to a deadlock, despite “positive” discussions that some have called for. The budget impasse is continuing to drag out as both parties are locked in a tug of war over key economic policy.

Contents
  • The Struggle Over South Africa’s National Budget
  • The Stakes: Why This Budget Matters
  • What Are the Key Disagreements?
  • What Are The Experts Saying?
  • What’s Next? 
  • What is Next After the ANC-DA Budget Impasse?

The Struggle Over South Africa’s National Budget

Imagine the pressure that a government is under when it comes to its financial future. South Africa’s ruling ANC party has advocated for a 0.5% VAT increase to help reduce the growing deficit. The ANC believes that this tax increase is necessary to fund public services such as education, health and social welfare. However, the issue has become a hot topic of debate.

The DA (South Africa’s main Opposition Party) is adamant about the fact that a VAT increase will hurt the poorest people the most. The DA argues that, with inflation at a record high, raising taxes will burden the ordinary citizen, particularly those who are already struggling to pay for their daily expenses. John Steenhuisen has voiced his opposition to the deal, stating there can’t be a deal unless the ANC is clear about their commitment to reduce waste in government instead of increasing taxes.

This tug-of-war between two major political actors has become all too familiar for many South Africans. There is still no solution in sight despite ongoing talks.

The Stakes: Why This Budget Matters

The national budget is not just a financial document but a road map for South Africa’s development. The budget determines the allocation of money for everything from infrastructure projects to education and healthcare, as well as social grants. The budget is vital in a country such as South Africa, where millions of people depend on social grants for survival.

The failure to pass a budget could have serious consequences. This could lead to disruptions in critical services, delays to infrastructure projects and cuts to programs essential to millions of South Africans. The budget impasse is causing concern over the possible economic consequences, including higher taxes, inflation, and a credit rating downgrade.

The effects of the impasse on ordinary citizens are already evident. Many people are worried about whether or not they will receive their monthly grants and whether essential services such as healthcare will be interrupted. Uncertainty over the budget makes an already difficult situation worse for those most in need.

What Are the Key Disagreements?

Who should bear the burden?

The proposed VAT increase is the most significant point of disagreement between the ANC & DA. The ANC sees the VAT increase as a necessary measure to ensure that social welfare programs are funded and the budget is balanced. For the DA, however, increasing VAT is a wrong step.

Steenhuisen argues that the government should cut wasteful spending instead of increasing taxes. He cites inefficient state-owned companies and an overburdened public sector as examples of where money can be saved. He says that the ANC plan will only increase the suffering of South Africans in general, especially the poor and the working class.

“The poorest South Africans already struggle to make ends meet. Steenhuisen said in a statement that a tax increase would only worsen the situation. He called on the ANC not to consider any additional tax increases until they reduced government waste.

Government Spending: Is it time for Austerity?

The issue of government spending is another point that divides the ANC and the DA. The ANC proposes an increase in government spending to stimulate the economy and create jobs. They claim that investing in social programs such as education and healthcare will help reduce poverty and inequality in the long term.

The DA, on the other hand, has called for austerity, arguing that the government should focus on cutting unneeded spending. Steenhuisen says that South Africa can’t afford to increase its public spending while the national debt of the country continues to grow. The DA wants more discipline in government expenditure before further budget increases.

The ideological differences between the two parties are reflected in the debate about spending priorities. The ANC is in favour of a greater role for government in addressing social inequalities, while the DA supports a market-driven approach in economic growth and public expenditure.

What Are The Experts Saying?

John Steenhuisen: “The budget is unaffordable”.

John Steenhuisen of the DA believes that tax increases proposed in the budget are simply unaffordable. He thinks that the government is not in touch with ordinary South Africans who are already struggling with high unemployment, inflation and economic instability.

Steenhuisen stated that the ANC budget proposal is unaffordable and will harm those it is intended to help. The DA will not support the budget unless it is amended to ensure that taxpayers’ money is used efficiently and the burden does not fall on the poorest members of our society.

Steenhuisen is visibly frustrated. He believes that the government has misaligned priorities and that tax increases will exacerbate the problems faced by South Africans.

Fikile Mbalula: “We are still negotiating.”

The ANC is of the strong opinion that the proposed increase in VAT is needed for the financial stability of the country. Fikile Mbalula, the ANC secretary-general, has expressed optimism over the negotiations that are currently underway.

“We’re confident that an accord will be reached,” Mbalula stated that the VAT increase was essential to continue funding social programs and reduce inequality. “We are aware of the concerns, but we must move forward with this budget.”

Mbalula’s comments show the ANC’s unwavering dedication to fiscal policies despite opposition from other parties and the DA.

Economists: Economic Risks of Prolonged Negotiations

Economists also commented on the possible risks of a long-term budget standoff. Dr. Sizwe Mthombeni is an economist from the University of Pretoria. He has warned against the continued uncertainty surrounding the budget.

Dr. Mthombeni said that markets thrive on certainty and the uncertainty surrounding the budget debate contributes to the rand’s depreciation. If the impasse persists, we may see further downgrades by credit rating agencies. This will make it more difficult for South Africa’s foreign investment to be attracted.

The economist’s remarks reflect the wider economic risks associated with government delays, especially when the country faces such serious fiscal challenges.

What’s Next? 

Both the ANC and the DA are increasingly under pressure to find a compromise, especially with the deadline for the vote on the budget fast approaching. Both parties are firmly entrenched in the positions they hold, but there are signs of a possible conclusion to negotiations.

The Standing Committee on Finance is scheduled to meet in the next few days to review the fiscal structure. If an agreement can be reached, then the budget will go to the parliament for final approval. The impasse could lead to even more political and economic instability in South Africa, which would further undermine public confidence in government.

South Africans must wait and hope that their leaders will find a solution before it is too late.

What is Next After the ANC-DA Budget Impasse?

The current budget impasse between the ANC and DA could have grave implications for South Africa’s future. Both parties are divided over key issues such as VAT increases and government spending. The stakes are high and the clock is running out.

The outcome of these discussions will determine whether or not essential services are maintained. The outcome of these negotiations will determine the economic trajectory of South Africa for many years. The ANC-DA budget impasse will not be resolved until the negotiations are completed. South Africa’s future is at stake.

ALSO READ: Ramaphosa Calls US Aid Cut a ‘Wake-Up Call’, Urges SA to Rely on Its Own Resources

TAGGED:ANC DA negotiationsANC-DA Budget ImpasseSouth Africa Budget 2025South African economyVAT hike South Africa
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