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‘Irreversible’ VAT Hike Set to Proceed as Finance Minister’s Decision Stands Legal Scrutiny

By
Karabo Makodi
Published: 19 March 2025,
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10 Min Read
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‘Irreversible’ VAT Hike Set to Proceed as Finance Minister’s Decision Stands Legal Scrutiny
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A VAT Hike might appear to be just another line in the budget of a government, but this could have profound implications for millions of South Africans. The Finance Minister Enoch Goongwana’s announcement that South Africa’s VAT would increase from 15% up to 17.5% has sparked a debate. This is more than a discussion about tax rates. It’s also about the impact of this decision on South Africans’ pockets, particularly those who are struggling to make ends meet.

Contents
  • Why is the VAT Hike so Controversial?
  • The Political Pushback: What do the parties think?
  • What is the real impact on South African households?
  • The Way Forward: Can South Africa make this work?
  • The Key Takeaways

The looming increase in VAT is a financial burden for many, especially those with lower incomes. It makes the cost of essentials like food, transportation, and clothing even more difficult to manage. The government claims that the tax increase is needed to help the country recover financially, but others say it’s a setback that will exacerbate inequality in a nation already struggling with poverty, unemployment and rising costs of living.

Why is the VAT Hike so Controversial?

It’s obvious to those who follow South African politics and policy that the VAT increase has been much more than a fiscal issue. It has also sparked legal and political conflict. Many have called it “irreversible” because of the legal arguments that suggest it is too late to reverse the increase after it has been included in the budget. Many feel that this decision was made with little transparency and without the input of the public, particularly from those in the most vulnerable groups.

Legal Review: Is The VAT Increase Constitutional?

South Africa’s complex tax laws have led to legal concerns. Members of the Parliamentary Budget Office and other critics claim that the Finance minister did not follow legal procedures when he proposed this tax change.

The PBO questioned whether or not the VAT increase has the necessary parliamentary support to be considered valid. They don’t just question whether the VAT hike is necessary for the financial stability of the country, but also whether the process used to implement this change was constitutionally sound.

Legal experts, including members of the Treasury, who support the VAT increase, claim that the government is entitled to amend the rate of VAT within the framework of an annual budget. Samantha Klopper, an expert in law, states that the government has a constitutional right to change tax laws within its budget process. Even if some people question the process, the minister’s decision was legal.

This is a reassuring view for the government. However, many citizens believe that they have been left out of the discussion about tax policy–and are not afraid to express their discontent.

The Political Pushback: What do the parties think?

The opposition parties’ outrage over the increase in VAT is not surprising. Taxation has always been a major battleground for political parties in many countries. South Africa is not an exception. Parties like the Democratic Alliance, and Economic Freedom Fighters have raised strong objections against the hike.

The DA was particularly vocal about its opposition, urging that the VAT increase be postponed or scrapped if it is not accompanied by a plan for reform. DA leader John Steenhuisen stated, “We can’t accept a VAT hike unless it is temporary and accompanied by a clear strategy to increase employment and growth.” South Africans deserve more than tax increases. They deserve an economy that is working for them.

EFF, on the other hand, argues that this hike will only worsen the situation of the poor. Julius Malema, the leader of the party, did not mince words when he said, “The VAT increase is nothing but a regressive tax.” The tax punishes those who are already struggling with their finances. Let’s address the root causes of inequity before we talk about economic reform.

These political arguments may seem distant to the everyday South African: What will this increase mean for their weekly grocery bills or monthly transport costs?

ALSO READ: Budget 2025: VAT Hike to 15.5% Adds Pressure on Consumers

What is the real impact on South African households?

Ordinary South Africans already feel the pressure while politicians argue the technicalities. A VAT increase will only make matters worse. Rising fuel and food prices already have households in a tight spot. According to the South African Social Security Agency, more than 19% of households were experiencing food insecurity by 2023.

Imagine: A family that struggles to pay for groceries every month now faces even higher costs because of the increased VAT. This includes food, transportation, and other everyday items. A simple increase in the VAT could be a burden for someone who lives paycheck-to-paycheck.

Professor Karen Tredoux explains what the effects are: “A greater VAT means higher prices for essential goods.” This directly translates into lower disposable income for working-class households. “The poorest households are likely to feel the most severe effects.”

The regressive nature is particularly concerning. It is therefore more damaging to lower-income families than wealthy ones. Wealthier people can afford to absorb price increases. Those who are already struggling with their finances simply cannot.

Real-World Consequences: A Personal Perspective

Consider, for instance, Lindiwe a single mother who lives in Johannesburg. She has two jobs in order to provide for her children but, despite all her efforts, she barely makes ends meet. Her grocery costs are high and her transportation costs for getting both herself and her children to school have been steadily increasing. Lindiwe says: “I have to decide between buying food or transporting myself to work every time I shop. I don’t even know how I will keep up with this VAT increase. “There’s no space left in the budget.”

Lindiwe’s story is not unique. It’s something that many South Africans live with every day. While policymakers and politicians debate the finer details of the VAT increase, the impact is deeply personal for millions.

The Way Forward: Can South Africa make this work?

The government claims that the increase in VAT is needed to recover financially. South Africa needs revenue to deal with its rising debts and slow economy. The question is: Can this new VAT rate be implemented without alienating the general public?

Some experts think that the government should do more to help the poorest in the short term. It might be possible to cushion the impact of the VAT increase by introducing measures such as targeted subsidies or increasing social grants.

The government has yet to confirm whether or not these additional measures are going to be implemented. Critics are concerned about this uncertainty, as they fear that the VAT hike could be a temporary solution for a more systemic issue.

The Key Takeaways

  • Legal Scrutiny The VAT increase has been challenged in court, and some have questioned whether the proper procedures were followed. Legal experts, however, argue that this decision is constitutionally valid.
  • Political Backlash Opposition Parties, such as the DA, and EFF have strongly opposed this VAT hike. They call it regressive, and unfair for the poorest South Africans.
  • Impact of the VAT on Households. This increase in VAT will worsen an already challenging financial situation for many families. Cost increases for food and transportation will put further pressure on already tight budgets.
  • Economic Consequences While an increase in VAT may be beneficial to government revenues, it can also lead to inflation and further burden the consumer, especially those with lower incomes.

ALSO READ: South Africans Can Voice Concerns on Proposed 0.5% VAT Hike During Parliament Budget Consultations

South Africa is currently raging over the VAT increase. The impact of the VAT hike on ordinary South Africans is yet to be determined. It may be necessary to secure the financial future of the country, but the impact will be felt for years to come. This decision is a blow to those who are already struggling. It is not clear if the government will implement the necessary reforms to counteract the effects of this increase. Only time will tell whether it was the right choice.

The debate will continue between the legal experts, politicians and the South African people who are the most affected by decisions taken in government halls.

TAGGED:Finance Minister GodongwanaSouth Africa Budget 2025South Africa VAT increaseSouth African economyVAT HikeVAT increase impact
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