In South Africa, the link between car hijackings and the demand for spare parts is undeniable. Discontinued models, particularly the highly popular Nissan NP200 bakkie, have become prime targets for criminals seeking to profit from the thriving underground trade in vehicle components.

The End of the NP200: A Popular Workhorse

The Nissan NP200, a light commercial vehicle (LCV) known for its affordability and versatility, was officially discontinued in 2024. For years, it was a reliable option for small businesses and individuals needing a durable, cost-effective workhorse. This model consistently ranked among South Africa’s top-selling vehicles, earning admiration not only within the country but across the African continent.

In its final production month, March 2024, the NP200 achieved an astonishing 2,679 sales, underscoring its enduring appeal. Priced from just R245,300, it was one of the most affordable and functional vehicles on the market, solidifying its status as a staple on South African roads. However, the discontinuation of the NP200 has introduced new risks for its owners, as experts warn that the vehicle is likely to become increasingly targeted by hijackers.

Discontinued Car Models and Rising Demand for Parts

South Africa’s hijacking crisis is driven by the supply-and-demand dynamics of the black market for car parts. The NP200, along with other discontinued models like the Nissan Almera and Toyota Etios, is now highly sought after for its components. The scarcity of spare parts for these vehicles, particularly after production ceases, makes them attractive to criminal syndicates.

Cars Targeted by Hijackers

The following cars are commonly targeted for hijackings in South Africa due to their popularity and the high demand for spare parts:

Discontinued Models:
- Nissan NP200

Nissan Almera

Toyota Etios

Ongoing Popular Models:
- Toyota Hilux

Toyota Fortuner

Volkswagen Polo

The Scale of the Black-Market Trade

The South African Police Service (SAPS) reports an average of 66 car hijackings daily, marking a 34% increase compared to pre-pandemic levels. Many of these crimes are carried out by well-organised groups that target vehicles with high-value parts. These syndicates often dismantle stolen cars within hours, feeding the demand for affordable spares in the black market.

Car parts such as wheels, tyres, tailgates, batteries, and airbags are particularly vulnerable, as they can be removed quickly and are nearly impossible to trace. This has fueled a lucrative illicit trade, with illegal chop shops capitalising on the high demand for cost-effective replacement parts.

Cartrack, a leading vehicle tracking service, estimates the annual value of this illegal industry at a staggering R442 million. This underground economy thrives on the inability of many South Africans to afford new components, making second-hand and stolen parts an appealing alternative.

Risks for NP200 Owners

NP200 owners now face heightened risks, particularly in areas identified as hijacking hotspots. Recovery services such as Tracker report that car thefts are most likely to occur in places where vehicles are left unattended, including home driveways, shopping malls, school events, and sports venues.

The NP200’s widespread use and reputation for affordability make it an ideal target for criminals. Owners of this model are advised to take extra precautions, such as installing advanced tracking systems, parking in secure areas, and remaining vigilant in high-risk zones.

Broader Implications for South Africa

The plight of NP200 owners highlights the broader challenges in South Africa’s fight against vehicle crime. Discontinued models are particularly vulnerable due to the scarcity of parts, but ongoing popular vehicles like the Toyota Hilux, Toyota Fortuner, and Volkswagen Polo are also high on hijackers’ lists.

Fidelity ADT, a security firm, has described hijackings as a business driven by economic principles. While some stolen vehicles are resold intact, dismantling and selling components has become a faster and more profitable alternative. The increasing demand for these parts reflects the difficulties faced by vehicle owners and businesses unable to afford new replacements.

Solutions and Precautions

Addressing the hijacking crisis requires a multi-faceted approach. Stricter law enforcement against chop shops, increased public awareness, and technological solutions such as vehicle tracking and immobilisation systems are essential. Additionally, fostering partnerships between the automotive industry and law enforcement could help curb the black-market trade in stolen parts.

For now, NP200 owners must remain proactive in safeguarding their vehicles. As spare parts for the model grow scarcer, the risk of theft will likely increase, making security measures more crucial than ever.

The discontinuation of the Nissan NP200 serves as a stark reminder of the vulnerabilities associated with vehicle crime in South Africa. Without addressing the root causes of hijackings, the cycle of theft and black-market trade is likely to persist, impacting not only vehicle owners but also the broader community.