Gauteng Medium Term Budget Policy Statement 2024: Overview

The 2024 Gauteng Medium Term Budget Policy Statement (MTBPS), delivered by MEC for Finance and Economic Development Lebogang Maile, underscores the province’s strategic response to persistent economic challenges while fostering inclusive growth. This budget marks a pivotal moment for Gauteng’s seventh administration under the Government of Provincial Unity (GPU), emphasizing public-private partnerships, infrastructure investment, and the professionalization of public services.

Economic Context and Inflation Management

The Gauteng MTBPS is shaped by a challenging global and domestic economic environment. The South African economy, forecast to grow by a modest 1.1% in 2024, faces pressures from elevated core inflation driven by rapid service price growth and wage inflation. The South African Reserve Bank’s tight monetary policy aims to curb inflation, providing some stability amid global uncertainties. Gauteng’s economic recovery strategy aligns with these national efforts, ensuring a focus on fiscal responsibility while addressing socio-economic disparities.

Population Growth and Socio-Economic Challenges

Gauteng, South Africa’s economic hub, has experienced significant population growth since 1994, doubling from 7.6 million to over 15.9 million by 2022, representing 25% of the country’s population. Despite its economic prowess, the province faces persistent socio-economic challenges:

Unemployment: Youth unemployment hovers near 40%, contributing to the province’s high overall joblessness rate.
Poverty: Approximately 27% of Gauteng’s households live below the poverty line.
Income Inequality: With a Gini coefficient of 0.63, Gauteng struggles with deep income disparities, exacerbated by geographic inequality between affluent and under-resourced areas.

Revenue Enhancement and Fiscal Strategy

To navigate these challenges, the Gauteng Provincial Treasury has implemented a Revenue Enhancement Strategy aimed at maximizing revenue collection despite fiscal constraints. Although provincial own revenue contributes only 5% of the budget, it plays a crucial role in funding key priorities such as:

Infrastructure maintenance and development
Job creation initiatives
Social service delivery improvements

These efforts are designed to enhance the province’s capacity to address urgent socio-economic issues without over-relying on national funding.

Prioritizing Inclusive Growth and Infrastructure Development

Central to the 2024 MTBPS is the commitment to inclusive growth and public-private partnerships that drive infrastructure and social development. MEC Maile highlighted the importance of collaboration with civil society and the private sector to build a developmental state. Key initiatives include:

Strengthening infrastructure: Investment in essential infrastructure to bolster economic resilience and job creation.
Professionalizing public service: Enhancing the efficiency and effectiveness of government operations to better serve the public.
Promoting social development: Ensuring that vulnerable communities benefit from targeted social support programs.

Economic Outlook: Gradual Recovery Ahead

Despite fiscal constraints, Gauteng’s 2024 economic outlook suggests a gradual recovery across various sectors. After a contraction of 0.1% in the first half of 2024, the South African economy is projected to grow by an annual average of 1.8% over the next three years. Industries showing resilience are expected to support the province’s economic rebound, albeit at a slower pace than desired.

Building a Resilient Gauteng

The 2024 Gauteng Medium Term Budget Policy Statement reflects a balanced approach to managing fiscal constraints while prioritizing inclusive growth, job creation, and infrastructure development. MEC Lebogang Maile’s budget underscores the importance of collaboration between the government, private sector, and civil society to navigate economic challenges and build a more equitable, prosperous Gauteng.

With a focus on long-term sustainability, the province is poised to overcome current hurdles and pave the way for a brighter economic future.